Bitcoin Volatility Analysis: 1.07% vs Risky Caps (May 2026)
Bitcoin volatility analysis shows BTC at 1.07% 30-day realized vol, below the risky large-cap basket and paired with 59.59% dominance. Read the stress split.
Original analytical reports on public crypto data. Cross-source signals, derivatives positioning, on-chain flows, developer activity. No predictions, no signals.
Original analytical research on public cryptocurrency market data, published daily. Every report begins with a specific cross-source disagreement we noticed in the data — on-chain activity contradicting price action, derivatives positioning rejecting retail sentiment, developer momentum fading while a token rallies — and works through what the public data actually shows. No predictions, no buy/sell signals, no price targets. The job is to describe; readers draw their own conclusions.
We pull from seven independent sources: CoinGecko, DeFiLlama, Binance Futures, GitHub, Fear & Greed Index, FRED, and crypto news feeds. Every figure traces to a named source and the timestamp at which we captured it. Edited by Jonathan Reed; full process on the methodology page.
Bitcoin volatility analysis shows BTC at 1.07% 30-day realized vol, below the risky large-cap basket and paired with 59.59% dominance. Read the stress split.
Bitcoin market structure split sharply: NEAR gained 62.91% while BCH fell 13.77%, even as BTC dominance held 59.51%. Read the tape.
Bitcoin breadth analysis shows BTC down 2.96% in 30 days, dominance at 59.51%, and 7-day movers split. Read the breadth signal.
Bitcoin momentum analysis: BTC closed at 77591 with 0.94% 30-day realized vol and fear still dominant. Read the structure gap.
Bitcoin regime analysis: BTC sits 49.6% below its 2025 peak while 30-day vol is 0.94%. Read the regime signal in structure, not noise.
Bitcoin trend analysis shows BTC up 1.84% in 30 days while dominance rose 1.21 pp to 59.61%. Read the structure shift.
Bitcoin trend persistence: BTC closed above its 30-day average on 19 of 30 days in April, with 1.51% realized vol. Read the regime.
Bitcoin’s 2026 recoveries were measured peak by peak, with reclaim times, drawdown depth, and market structure context across BTC and ETH.
Bitcoin’s 12-month price path shows its worst drawdown, how long it took to form, and how today’s pullback compares with that range.
BTC’s 30-day realized volatility fell to 1.69% while price still ranged from 65,970 to 78,244, with breadth and derivatives mixed.
DeFi TVL analysis of ether.fi Liquid: TVL fell 15.9% to $315.9M in 24h while total DeFi TVL rose 6.03% over 30 days. Read the regime shift.
BTC’s 90-day realized volatility is 1.69%, still below its 90-day-prior reading; the 1-year comparison shows a mostly contracting, mixed regime.